Performance Tracker
How our predictions stack up against real results
1X2 Accuracy
50%
526/1052 correct
Over 2.5
55%
574/1052 correct
BTTS
55%
582/1052 correct
Brier Score
0.204
Lower is better (0 = perfect)
Current Streak
1L
Consecutive losses
Daily Accuracy Trend
8 May
40%2/5
9 May
55%11/20
10 May
38%16/42
11 May
18%2/11
12 May
75%3/4
13 May
43%3/7
14 May
33%1/3
15 May
100%1/1
16 May
52%11/21
17 May
42%21/50
18 May
100%1/1
19 May
50%1/2
22 May
0%0/1
23 May
56%9/16
24 May
57%13/23
Model Calibration
Predicted confidence vs actual win rate. Perfect calibration = diagonal line.
50%-60%58% / 41%96
60%-70%65% / 40%342
70%-80%75% / 53%435
80%-101%82% / 66%179
Predicted
Actual
Accuracy by League
Championship78/151 (52%)
La Liga68/131 (52%)
Serie A60/127 (47%)
Serie A64/120 (53%)
Premier League49/109 (45%)
Bundesliga53/100 (53%)
Primeira Liga44/99 (44%)
Ligue 148/98 (49%)
Eredivisie48/89 (54%)
Champions League14/28 (50%)
Accuracy by Prediction Type
Home Win
52% (722)
Away Win
46% (330)
Recent Predictions vs Results
| Date | Match | Score | Prediction | Conf | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 24 May | Vasco da Gama vs Bragantino Serie A | 0-2 | Home Win(2-0) | 78% | Away Win | |
| Sun 24 May | Corinthians vs Mineiro Serie A | 1-0 | Home Win(1-1) | 74% | Home Win | |
| Sun 24 May | Torino vs Juventus Serie A | 2-2 | Away Win(1-1) | 64% | Draw | |
| Sun 24 May | Villarreal vs Atleti La Liga | 5-1 | Home Win(1-1) | 70% | Home Win | |
| Sun 24 May | Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense Serie A | 2-1 | Home Win(1-1) | 68% | Home Win | |
| Sun 24 May | Clube do Remo vs Paranaense Serie A | 1-2 | Away Win(0-2) | 70% | Away Win | |
| Sun 24 May | Milan vs Cagliari Serie A | 1-2 | Home Win(2-0) | 82% | Away Win | |
| Sun 24 May | Verona vs Roma Serie A | 0-2 | Away Win(0-2) | 69% | Away Win | |
| Sun 24 May | Cremonese vs Como 1907 Serie A | 1-4 | Away Win(0-2) | 68% | Away Win | |
| Sun 24 May | Lecce vs Genoa Serie A | 1-0 | Away Win(1-1) | 59% | Home Win | |
| Sun 24 May | Napoli vs Udinese Serie A | 1-0 | Home Win(2-0) | 81% | Home Win | |
| Sun 24 May | Brighton Hove vs Man United Premier League | 0-3 | Away Win(1-1) | 62% | Away Win | |
| Sun 24 May | Sunderland vs Chelsea Premier League | 2-1 | Away Win(1-1) | 59% | Home Win | |
| Sun 24 May | Crystal Palace vs Arsenal Premier League | 1-2 | Away Win(0-2) | 69% | Away Win | |
| Sun 24 May | Burnley vs Wolverhampton Premier League | 1-1 | Home Win(1-1) | 71% | Draw | |
| Sun 24 May | Fulham vs Newcastle Premier League | 2-0 | Home Win(1-1) | 73% | Home Win | |
| Sun 24 May | Liverpool vs Brentford Premier League | 1-1 | Home Win(1-1) | 72% | Draw | |
| Sun 24 May | Man City vs Aston Villa Premier League | 2-2 | Home Win(1-1) | 73% | Away Win | |
| Sun 24 May | Nottingham vs Bournemouth Premier League | 1-1 | Home Win(1-1) | 58% | Draw | |
| Sun 24 May | Tottenham vs Everton Premier League | 1-0 | Away Win(1-1) | 62% | Home Win | |
| Sun 24 May | West Ham vs Leeds United Premier League | 3-0 | Home Win(1-1) | 58% | Home Win | |
| Sun 24 May | Parma vs Sassuolo Serie A | 1-0 | Home Win(1-1) | 68% | Home Win | |
| Sun 24 May | Flamengo vs Palmeiras Serie A | 0-3 | Away Win(1-1) | 59% | Away Win | |
| Sat 23 May | Grêmio vs Santos Serie A | 3-2 | Home Win(2-0) | 80% | Home Win | |
| Sat 23 May | Mirassol vs Fluminense Serie A | 1-0 | Away Win(0-2) | 72% | Home Win | |
| Sat 23 May | São Paulo vs Botafogo Serie A | 1-1 | Home Win(2-0) | 80% | Draw | |
| Sat 23 May | Vitória vs Internacional Serie A | 2-0 | Home Win(1-1) | 74% | Home Win | |
| Sat 23 May | Girona vs Elche La Liga | 1-1 | Home Win(1-1) | 75% | Draw | |
| Sat 23 May | Mallorca vs Real Oviedo La Liga | 3-0 | Home Win(1-1) | 73% | Home Win | |
| Sat 23 May | Valencia vs Barça La Liga | 3-1 | Away Win(1-1) | 67% | Home Win |