Back to Dashboard
England - Premier League | Regular Season - 38
Sun 24 May at 15:00
West Ham
Elo: 1402
3 - 0
Leeds United
Elo: 1471
Prediction: Home Win (1-1)

Match Result Prediction

58%Low
36%28%35%
HomeDrawAway
Most likely scoreline: 1-1

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
36%
BTTS Yes
62%

Model Breakdown

eloH: 32% | D: 30% | A: 39%
poissonH: 39% | D: 27% | A: 34%

AI Match Analysis

Powered by data-driven models

Independent analysis based on form, Elo ratings, H2H records, injuries, and squad data

West Ham host Leeds United in the Premier League in what promises to be an intriguing contest. West Ham currently sit 18th in the table with 39 points, while Leeds United are 14thwith 47 points.

Defensively, they have been vulnerable, shipping 1.8 goals per game. However, the visitors' backline has been suspect, leaking 1.6 per match. At home, West Ham average 1.3 goals, while Leeds United concede 1.8 on the road — suggesting this could be a tight affair.

In head-to-head meetings (1 matches), West Ham have won 1, Leeds United 0, with 0 draws. These encounters tend to be high-scoring, averaging 3.0 goals per match. Goals are expected — West Ham have seen Over 2.5 in 8/10 recent matches, Leeds United in 8/10. Both teams to score looks likely given the BTTS record: West Ham 7/10, Leeds United 9/10.

The Elo ratings are fairly close (1402 vs 1471), indicating a competitive match.

Verdict

We lean towards West Ham in this one, though it's not a certainty. At 36% probability, the hosts have a slight advantage but Leeds United are more than capable of getting something from this match. Confidence is lower than usual (58%), reflecting disagreement between our prediction models. Proceed with caution.

Form Comparison

West Ham
Stat
Leeds United
Last 5
1.1
Avg Scored
1.3
1.8
Avg Conceded
1.6
-
Avg Possession
-
1
Clean Sheets
2
18
League Pos
14

Head to Head

(1 matches)
1
Home Wins
0
Draws
0
Away Wins
Avg goals per match: 3.0 | BTTS: 0/1