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England - Premier League | Regular Season - 38
Sun 24 May at 15:00
Tottenham
Elo: 1448
1 - 0
Everton
Elo: 1606
Prediction: Away Win (1-1)

Match Result Prediction

62%Moderate
29%27%45%
HomeDrawAway
Most likely scoreline: 1-1

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
37%
BTTS Yes
60%

Model Breakdown

eloH: 25% | D: 26% | A: 49%
poissonH: 23% | D: 25% | A: 52%

Context Adjustments

motivation: +2%

AI Match Analysis

Powered by data-driven models

Independent analysis based on form, Elo ratings, H2H records, injuries, and squad data

Tottenham host Everton in the Premier League in what promises to be an intriguing contest. Tottenham currently sit 17th in the table with 41 points, while Everton are 13thwith 49 points.

Defensively, they have been vulnerable, shipping 1.7 goals per game. At home, Tottenham average 1.4 goals, while Everton concede 1.3 on the road — a matchup that favours the hosts.

In head-to-head meetings (1 matches), Tottenham have won 0, Everton 1, with 0 draws. Goals are expected — Tottenham have seen Over 2.5 in 8/10 recent matches, Everton in 8/10. Both teams to score looks likely given the BTTS record: Tottenham 8/10, Everton 7/10.

Our Elo model rates Everton significantly higher (1448 vs 1606), suggesting a clear quality advantage.

Verdict

We give Everton a slight edge at 45%, though this is a closely-contested fixture. The away side's form and tactical setup suggest they can steal a result. We rate this prediction with moderate confidence (62%). The models show reasonable alignment, but some uncertainty remains.

Form Comparison

Tottenham
Stat
Everton
Last 5
1.2
Avg Scored
1.8
1.7
Avg Conceded
1.1
-
Avg Possession
-
1
Clean Sheets
4
17
League Pos
13

Head to Head

(1 matches)
0
Home Wins
0
Draws
1
Away Wins
Avg goals per match: 1.0 | BTTS: 0/1