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England - Premier League | Regular Season - 38
Sun 24 May at 15:00
Liverpool
Elo: 1665
1 - 1
Brentford
Elo: 1651
Prediction: Home Win (1-1)

Match Result Prediction

72%High
47%27%26%
HomeDrawAway
Most likely scoreline: 1-1

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
34%
BTTS Yes
57%

Model Breakdown

eloH: 45% | D: 27% | A: 28%
poissonH: 54% | D: 26% | A: 21%

AI Match Analysis

Powered by data-driven models

Independent analysis based on form, Elo ratings, H2H records, injuries, and squad data

Liverpool host Brentford in the Premier League in what promises to be an intriguing contest. Liverpool currently sit 5th in the table with 60 points, while Brentford are 9thwith 53 points.

Liverpool have been prolific this season, averaging 1.9 goals per game. Brentford carry a dangerous attack averaging 1.8 goals. At home, Liverpool average 2.2 goals, while Brentford concede 1.2 on the road — a matchup that favours the hosts.

In head-to-head meetings (1 matches), Liverpool have won 0, Brentford 0, with 1 draws. Both teams have found the net in the majority of their meetings. Goals are expected — Liverpool have seen Over 2.5 in 8/10 recent matches, Brentford in 8/10. Both teams to score looks likely given the BTTS record: Liverpool 6/10, Brentford 7/10.

Elo ratings are virtually level (1664 vs 1650), making this a genuine coin-flip on paper.

Verdict

We lean towards Liverpool in this one, though it's not a certainty. At 47% probability, the hosts have a slight advantage but Brentford are more than capable of getting something from this match. We rate this prediction with moderate confidence (72%). The models show reasonable alignment, but some uncertainty remains.

Form Comparison

Liverpool
Stat
Brentford
Last 5
1.9
Avg Scored
1.8
0.9
Avg Conceded
1.1
-
Avg Possession
-
5
Clean Sheets
4
5
League Pos
9

Head to Head

(1 matches)
0
Home Wins
1
Draws
0
Away Wins
Avg goals per match: 2.0 | BTTS: 1/1