Back to Dashboard
England - Premier League | Regular Season - 38
Sun 24 May at 15:00
Brighton Hove
Elo: 1561
0 - 3
Man United
Elo: 1766
Prediction: Away Win (1-1)

Match Result Prediction

62%Moderate
28%28%44%
HomeDrawAway
Most likely scoreline: 1-1

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
32%
BTTS Yes
58%

Model Breakdown

eloH: 25% | D: 26% | A: 50%
poissonH: 26% | D: 27% | A: 47%

AI Match Analysis

Powered by data-driven models

Independent analysis based on form, Elo ratings, H2H records, injuries, and squad data

Brighton Hove host Man United in the Premier League in what promises to be an intriguing contest. Brighton Hove currently sit 8th in the table with 53 points, while Man United are 3rdwith 71 points.

Man United carry a dangerous attack averaging 2.1 goals. Man United's defence has been solid, conceding just 0.8 per game. At home, Brighton Hove average 1.9 goals, while Man United concede 0.9 on the road — a matchup that favours the hosts.

In head-to-head meetings (1 matches), Brighton Hove have won 0, Man United 1, with 0 draws. These encounters tend to be high-scoring, averaging 3.0 goals per match. Goals are expected — Brighton Hove have seen Over 2.5 in 8/10 recent matches, Man United in 8/10. Both teams to score looks likely given the BTTS record: Brighton Hove 8/10, Man United 5/10.

Our Elo model rates Man United significantly higher (1560 vs 1766), suggesting a clear quality advantage.

Verdict

We give Man United a slight edge at 44%, though this is a closely-contested fixture. The away side's form and tactical setup suggest they can steal a result. We rate this prediction with moderate confidence (62%). The models show reasonable alignment, but some uncertainty remains.

Form Comparison

Brighton Hove
Stat
Man United
Last 5
1.6
Avg Scored
2.1
1.3
Avg Conceded
0.8
-
Avg Possession
-
3
Clean Sheets
5
8
League Pos
3

Head to Head

(1 matches)
0
Home Wins
0
Draws
1
Away Wins
Avg goals per match: 3.0 | BTTS: 0/1