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England - Premier League | Regular Season - 38
Sun 24 May at 15:00
Sunderland
Elo: 1588
2 - 1
Chelsea
Elo: 1658
Prediction: Away Win (1-1)

Match Result Prediction

59%Moderate
34%29%38%
HomeDrawAway
Most likely scoreline: 1-1

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
81%
Over 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
35%
BTTS Yes
61%

Model Breakdown

eloH: 32% | D: 30% | A: 38%
poissonH: 33% | D: 27% | A: 40%

AI Match Analysis

Powered by data-driven models

Independent analysis based on form, Elo ratings, H2H records, injuries, and squad data

Sunderland host Chelsea in the Premier League with significant stakes for both sides. Sunderland currently sit 7th in the table with 54 points, while Chelsea are 10thwith 52 points.

Chelsea carry a dangerous attack averaging 1.9 goals. At home, Sunderland average 1.8 goals, while Chelsea concede 1.2 on the road — a matchup that favours the hosts.

In head-to-head meetings (1 matches), Sunderland have won 1, Chelsea 0, with 0 draws. These encounters tend to be high-scoring, averaging 3.0 goals per match. Both teams have found the net in the majority of their meetings. Goals are expected — Sunderland have seen Over 2.5 in 8/10 recent matches, Chelsea in 8/10. Both teams to score looks likely given the BTTS record: Sunderland 9/10, Chelsea 7/10.

The Elo ratings are fairly close (1587 vs 1657), indicating a competitive match.

Verdict

We give Chelsea a slight edge at 38%, though this is a closely-contested fixture. The away side's form and tactical setup suggest they can steal a result. Confidence is lower than usual (59%), reflecting disagreement between our prediction models. Proceed with caution.

Form Comparison

Sunderland
Stat
Chelsea
Last 5
1.6
Avg Scored
1.9
1.3
Avg Conceded
1.0
-
Avg Possession
-
3
Clean Sheets
4
7
League Pos
10

Head to Head

(1 matches)
1
Home Wins
0
Draws
0
Away Wins
Avg goals per match: 3.0 | BTTS: 1/1