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Brazil - Serie A | Regular Season - 17
Sun 24 May at 00:00
Flamengo
Elo: 1637
0 - 3
Palmeiras
Elo: 1748
Prediction: Away Win (1-1)

Match Result Prediction

59%Moderate
32%30%38%
HomeDrawAway
Most likely scoreline: 1-1

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
25%
BTTS Yes
53%

Model Breakdown

eloH: 33% | D: 30% | A: 37%
poissonH: 29% | D: 30% | A: 41%

AI Match Analysis

Powered by data-driven models

Independent analysis based on form, Elo ratings, H2H records, injuries, and squad data

Flamengo host Palmeiras in the Serie A with significant stakes for both sides. Flamengo currently sit 2nd in the table with 31 points, while Palmeiras are 1stwith 38 points.

Flamengo have been prolific this season, averaging 1.9 goals per game. Palmeiras carry a dangerous attack averaging 2.2 goals. Palmeiras's defence has been solid, conceding just 0.7 per game. At home, Flamengo average 2.2 goals, while Palmeiras concede 0.8 on the road — a matchup that favours the hosts.

In head-to-head meetings (1 matches), Flamengo have won 0, Palmeiras 1, with 0 draws. These encounters tend to be high-scoring, averaging 3.0 goals per match. Goals are expected — Flamengo have seen Over 2.5 in 8/10 recent matches, Palmeiras in 8/10.

Our Elo model rates Palmeiras significantly higher (1637 vs 1748), suggesting a clear quality advantage.

Verdict

We give Palmeiras a slight edge at 38%, though this is a closely-contested fixture. The away side's form and tactical setup suggest they can steal a result. Confidence is lower than usual (59%), reflecting disagreement between our prediction models. Proceed with caution.

Form Comparison

Flamengo
Stat
Palmeiras
Last 5
1.9
Avg Scored
2.2
1.0
Avg Conceded
0.7
-
Avg Possession
-
4
Clean Sheets
6
2
League Pos
1

Head to Head

(1 matches)
0
Home Wins
0
Draws
1
Away Wins
Avg goals per match: 3.0 | BTTS: 0/1