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Italy - Serie A | Regular Season - 38
Sun 24 May at 18:45
Cremonese
Elo: 1433
1 - 4
Como 1907
Elo: 1740
Prediction: Away Win (0-2)

Match Result Prediction

68%Moderate
20%24%56%
HomeDrawAway
Most likely scoreline: 0-2

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
37%
BTTS Yes
54%

Model Breakdown

eloH: 17% | D: 21% | A: 62%
poissonH: 14% | D: 22% | A: 64%

AI Match Analysis

Powered by data-driven models

Independent analysis based on form, Elo ratings, H2H records, injuries, and squad data

Cremonese host Como 1907 in the Serie A in what promises to be an intriguing contest. Cremonese currently sit 18th in the table with 34 points, while Como 1907 are 4thwith 71 points.

Defensively, they have been vulnerable, shipping 1.7 goals per game. Como 1907 carry a dangerous attack averaging 2.0 goals. Como 1907's defence has been solid, conceding just 0.9 per game. At home, Cremonese average 1.4 goals, while Como 1907 concede 1.0 on the road — a matchup that favours the hosts.

In head-to-head meetings (1 matches), Cremonese have won 0, Como 1907 1, with 0 draws. These encounters tend to be high-scoring, averaging 5.0 goals per match. Both teams have found the net in the majority of their meetings. Goals are expected — Cremonese have seen Over 2.5 in 8/10 recent matches, Como 1907 in 8/10. Both teams to score looks likely given the BTTS record: Cremonese 8/10, Como 1907 6/10.

Our Elo model rates Como 1907 significantly higher (1433 vs 1739), suggesting a clear quality advantage.

Verdict

We give Como 1907 a slight edge at 56%, though this is a closely-contested fixture. The away side's form and tactical setup suggest they can steal a result. We rate this prediction with moderate confidence (68%). The models show reasonable alignment, but some uncertainty remains.

Form Comparison

Cremonese
Stat
Como 1907
Last 5
1.2
Avg Scored
2.0
1.7
Avg Conceded
0.9
-
Avg Possession
-
1
Clean Sheets
5
18
League Pos
4

Head to Head

(1 matches)
0
Home Wins
0
Draws
1
Away Wins
Avg goals per match: 5.0 | BTTS: 1/1