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Italy - Serie A | Regular Season - 38
Sun 24 May at 18:45
Verona
Elo: 1384
0 - 2
Roma
Elo: 1704
Prediction: Away Win (0-2)

Match Result Prediction

69%Moderate
20%24%56%
HomeDrawAway
Most likely scoreline: 0-2

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
37%
BTTS Yes
55%

Model Breakdown

eloH: 15% | D: 20% | A: 64%
poissonH: 14% | D: 22% | A: 64%

AI Match Analysis

Powered by data-driven models

Independent analysis based on form, Elo ratings, H2H records, injuries, and squad data

Verona host Roma in the Serie A in what promises to be an intriguing contest. Verona currently sit 19th in the table with 21 points, while Roma are 3rdwith 73 points.

Defensively, they have been vulnerable, shipping 1.8 goals per game. Roma carry a dangerous attack averaging 1.9 goals. At home, Verona average 1.2 goals, while Roma concede 1.2 on the road — a matchup that favours the hosts.

In head-to-head meetings (1 matches), Verona have won 0, Roma 1, with 0 draws. Goals are expected — Verona have seen Over 2.5 in 8/10 recent matches, Roma in 8/10. Both teams to score looks likely given the BTTS record: Verona 7/10, Roma 7/10.

Our Elo model rates Roma significantly higher (1383 vs 1704), suggesting a clear quality advantage.

Verdict

We give Roma a slight edge at 56%, though this is a closely-contested fixture. The away side's form and tactical setup suggest they can steal a result. We rate this prediction with moderate confidence (69%). The models show reasonable alignment, but some uncertainty remains.

Form Comparison

Verona
Stat
Roma
Last 5
1.1
Avg Scored
1.9
1.8
Avg Conceded
1.0
-
Avg Possession
-
0
Clean Sheets
4
19
League Pos
3

Head to Head

(1 matches)
0
Home Wins
0
Draws
1
Away Wins
Avg goals per match: 2.0 | BTTS: 0/1