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Italy - Serie A | Regular Season - 38
Sat 23 May at 16:00
Bologna
Elo: 1637
3 - 3
Inter
Elo: 1800
Prediction: Away Win (1-1)

Match Result Prediction

64%Moderate
25%28%47%
HomeDrawAway
Most likely scoreline: 1-1

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
BTTS Yes
54%

Model Breakdown

eloH: 26% | D: 26% | A: 48%
poissonH: 22% | D: 27% | A: 50%

Context Adjustments

motivation: -2%

AI Match Analysis

Powered by data-driven models

Independent analysis based on form, Elo ratings, H2H records, injuries, and squad data

Bologna host Inter in the Serie A in what promises to be an intriguing contest. Bologna currently sit 8th in the table with 56 points, while Inter are 1stwith 87 points.

Inter carry a dangerous attack averaging 2.2 goals. Inter's defence has been solid, conceding just 0.7 per game. At home, Bologna average 1.9 goals, while Inter concede 0.8 on the road — a matchup that favours the hosts.

In head-to-head meetings (1 matches), Bologna have won 0, Inter 0, with 1 draws. These encounters tend to be high-scoring, averaging 6.0 goals per match. Both teams have found the net in the majority of their meetings. Goals are expected — Bologna have seen Over 2.5 in 8/10 recent matches, Inter in 8/10. Both teams to score looks likely given the BTTS record: Bologna 8/10, Inter 4/10.

Our Elo model rates Inter significantly higher (1636 vs 1800), suggesting a clear quality advantage.

Verdict

We give Inter a slight edge at 47%, though this is a closely-contested fixture. The away side's form and tactical setup suggest they can steal a result. We rate this prediction with moderate confidence (64%). The models show reasonable alignment, but some uncertainty remains.

Form Comparison

Bologna
Stat
Inter
Last 5
1.7
Avg Scored
2.2
1.2
Avg Conceded
0.7
-
Avg Possession
-
3
Clean Sheets
6
8
League Pos
1

Head to Head

(1 matches)
0
Home Wins
1
Draws
0
Away Wins
Avg goals per match: 6.0 | BTTS: 1/1