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Spain - La Liga | Regular Season - 38
Sat 23 May at 19:00
Girona
Elo: 1501
1 - 1
Elche
Elo: 1433
Prediction: Home Win (1-1)

Match Result Prediction

75%High
52%25%23%
HomeDrawAway
Most likely scoreline: 1-1

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
84%
Over 2.5
63%
Over 3.5
41%
BTTS Yes
60%

Model Breakdown

eloH: 52% | D: 25% | A: 23%
poissonH: 61% | D: 22% | A: 17%

AI Match Analysis

Powered by data-driven models

Independent analysis based on form, Elo ratings, H2H records, injuries, and squad data

Girona host Elche in the La Liga in what promises to be an intriguing contest. Girona currently sit 19th in the table with 41 points, while Elche are 15thwith 43 points.

However, the visitors' backline has been suspect, leaking 1.7 per match. At home, Girona average 1.7 goals, while Elche concede 2.0 on the road — suggesting this could be a tight affair.

In head-to-head meetings (1 matches), Girona have won 0, Elche 0, with 1 draws. Both teams have found the net in the majority of their meetings. Goals are expected — Girona have seen Over 2.5 in 8/10 recent matches, Elche in 8/10. Both teams to score looks likely given the BTTS record: Girona 9/10, Elche 8/10.

The Elo ratings are fairly close (1501 vs 1432), indicating a competitive match.

Verdict

We lean towards Girona in this one, though it's not a certainty. At 52% probability, the hosts have a slight advantage but Elche are more than capable of getting something from this match. Our confidence level is high (75%), with strong agreement across all prediction models (Elo, Poisson, and Form). On the goals front, Over 2.5 Goals (63%) looks a solid proposition and BTTS Yes (60%) is also worth considering.

Form Comparison

Girona
Stat
Elche
Last 5
1.4
Avg Scored
1.2
1.5
Avg Conceded
1.7
-
Avg Possession
-
2
Clean Sheets
1
19
League Pos
15

Head to Head

(1 matches)
0
Home Wins
1
Draws
0
Away Wins
Avg goals per match: 2.0 | BTTS: 1/1