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Spain - La Liga | Regular Season - 38
Sat 23 May at 19:00
Getafe
Elo: 1610
1 - 0
Osasuna
Elo: 1541
Prediction: Home Win (1-1)

Match Result Prediction

73%High
49%26%25%
HomeDrawAway
Most likely scoreline: 1-1

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
83%
Over 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
38%
BTTS Yes
60%

Model Breakdown

eloH: 50% | D: 26% | A: 25%
poissonH: 54% | D: 25% | A: 21%

AI Match Analysis

Powered by data-driven models

Independent analysis based on form, Elo ratings, H2H records, injuries, and squad data

Getafe host Osasuna in the La Liga in what promises to be an intriguing contest. Getafe currently sit 7th in the table with 51 points, while Osasuna are 17thwith 42 points.

At home, Getafe average 2.0 goals, while Osasuna concede 1.5 on the road — a matchup that favours the hosts.

In head-to-head meetings (1 matches), Getafe have won 1, Osasuna 0, with 0 draws. Goals are expected — Getafe have seen Over 2.5 in 8/10 recent matches, Osasuna in 8/10. Both teams to score looks likely given the BTTS record: Getafe 7/10, Osasuna 8/10.

The Elo ratings are fairly close (1609 vs 1541), indicating a competitive match.

Verdict

We lean towards Getafe in this one, though it's not a certainty. At 49% probability, the hosts have a slight advantage but Osasuna are more than capable of getting something from this match. We rate this prediction with moderate confidence (73%). The models show reasonable alignment, but some uncertainty remains. On the goals front, Over 2.5 Goals (60%) looks a solid proposition and BTTS Yes (60%) is also worth considering.

Form Comparison

Getafe
Stat
Osasuna
Last 5
1.8
Avg Scored
1.6
1.1
Avg Conceded
1.3
-
Avg Possession
-
4
Clean Sheets
3
7
League Pos
17

Head to Head

(1 matches)
1
Home Wins
0
Draws
0
Away Wins
Avg goals per match: 1.0 | BTTS: 0/1